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Dollar sags as slower U.S. inflation boosts rate cut expectations
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. Stocks and other risk-sensitive assets such as the Australian dollar led gains in the wake of the data release. The New Zealand dollar hit a two-month high at $0.6131. Softer-than-expected retail sales figures, which were flat last month instead of the 0.4% gain that economists had forecast, reinforced the newfound confidence in rate cuts.
Persons: Sterling, Bart Wakabayashi, China's, Bitcoin Organizations: Australian, New Zealand, U.S, State, European Central Bank Locations: Asia, Tokyo, Treasuries
Pfizer on Wednesday reported first-quarter revenue that beat expectations and hiked its full-year profit outlook, benefiting from its broad cost-cutting program and strong sales of its non-Covid products. Pfizer reiterated its previous revenue forecast of $58.5 billion and $61.5 billion, which it first outlined in mid-December. For the first quarter, Pfizer booked net income of $3.12 billion, or 55 cents per share. That compares with net income of $5.54 billion, or 97 cents per share, during the same period a year ago. Paxlovid booked $2 billion in revenue for the quarter, down 50% from the same period a year ago.
Persons: Pfizer's, Paxlovid Organizations: Pfizer, Wednesday, LSEG, Revenue, U.S, Paxlovid Locations: U.S, Seagen, China
This in effect creates an 'implied' 2H of 2024 guidance that is perhaps excessively optimistic," CEO Adam Parker wrote Sunday. Parker's warning comes after S & P 500 reported earnings growth of 4.2% for the fourth quarter on a year-over-year basis, per FactSet. He also screened for stocks in which there's a big difference between earnings expectations for the first and the second half of the year. Parker surmises that these stocks may disappoint on these aggressive earnings turnarounds. Consensus estimates from analysts surveyed by FactSet suggest the stock, which is down nearly 5% this year, could gain 13.2% from Monday's close.
Persons: Adam Parker, Parker, AbbVie, FactSet, Wells Fargo, Estee Lauder Organizations: Research, Abbott Laboratories, Humana, Pharmaceutical, FactSet, Mondelez International, Procter, Gamble Locations: , China, Monday's
Investors have lost their taste for Starbucks stock as the company faces headwinds in key markets across the globe. SBUX .SPX YTD mountain Starbucks' year-to-date stock performance compared with the S & P 500. At this point, the question is whether the possibility of a weak quarter and lowered guidance are already priced into Starbucks' stock. In light of the report, we lowered our price target on Starbucks stock to $115 per share from $125, but maintained our 1 rating. A Starbucks logo is seen as members and supporters of Starbucks Workers United protest outside of a Starbucks store in Dupont Circle, Washington, D.C., on Nov. 16, 2023.
Persons: Jeff Marks, Michael Conway, Brady Brewer, Laxman Narasimhan, it's, Rachel Ruggeri, Morgan Stanley, reshuffling, Wells, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Kevin Dietsch Organizations: Down, North, Starbucks International, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, CNBC, Starbucks Workers, D.C, Getty Locations: U.S, China, Israel, North America, America, Europe, Starbucks China, Wells, Starbucks, Dupont Circle, Washington
Brent Lewin | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates later this year and, while that may not be good news for the dollar , some Asian currencies stand to benefit. Higher interest rates boost a country's currency, attracting foreign investment and increasing demand for the country's currency. A weak U.S. dollar is generally positive for emerging markets, which is often the case when the Fed cuts interest rates outside of an economic crisis. Experts told CNBC currencies such as the Chinese yuan , the Korean won and the Indian rupee stand to benefit from the Fed loosening monetary policy. So those are also positive for the Indian currency," said Anindya Banerjee, vice president of currency and derivatives research at Kotak Securities.
Persons: Mahatma Gandhi, Brent Lewin, Yuan, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Simon Harvey ​, , Anindya Banerjee, Banerjee, South Korea's, Monex's Harvey Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, . Federal, CNBC, Korean, Bel Air Investment Advisors, People's Bank of, FX, U.S, Kotak Securities, Bank of, Korea's, South Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, China, People's Bank of China, U.S, Bank of India, India, Europe, America
Dollar poised for weekly decline; US jobs data up next
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index was last at 103.02 and on track for its first weekly decline for the year. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.07% to $0.6149 and was on track for a weekly rise of nearly 1%, its best performance in over a month. It was poised for a weekly gain of nearly 1.3%, its best week in over a month. That highlighted a growing view within the board that conditions were falling in place to soon pull short-term interest rates out of negative territory, which would be Japan's first interest rate hike since 2007. Data on Thursday showed euro zone inflation eased as expected last month but underlying price pressures fell less than forecast, likely boosting the European Central Bank's argument that rate cuts should not be rushed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, Raf Choudhury, BoE, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Federal Reserve, New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Friday's, Analysts, Bank of Japan's, Bank of England, Monetary, European Locations: Abrdn, U.S
Gold atop 6-month peak on softer U.S. dollar, bets on Fed
  + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was up 0.4% at $2,009.69 per ounce by 0404 GMT. U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $2,009.50. "What's moving gold at the moment is the lower U.S. dollar because of the recent soft data," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com. Gold rose sharply earlier in the session, hitting as high as $2,017.82 an ounce. Earlier this month, another inflation print showed weaker-than-expected consumer inflation, boosting hopes that the Fed could begin easing monetary conditions sooner than expected.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Rodda, CME's Organizations: U.S . Federal, U.S, Fed, Traders, Bank of Locations: U.S, Bank of Japan
A man looks at an electric monitor displaying the Japanese yen exchange rate against the U.S. dollar and Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 4, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 28 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Volatility across major asset classes is low - implied volatility on Wall Street is at its lowest in almost four years, global currency implied vol is the lowest since early last year, and U.S. bond vol is at a two-month low. China's markets, especially, have lagged, although Japanese stocks have outperformed thanks to the weak yen and a historic loosening of wider financial conditions. The Aussie on Monday rose above $0.66 for the first time since Aug. 10 and was one of the biggest winners among major currencies along with the Japanese yen and New Zealand dollar.
Persons: Issei Kato, Goldman Sachs, Michele Bullock, Bullock, Philip Lowe, Bullock's, Fed's Waller, Bowman, Goolsbee, Barr, Jamie McGeever Organizations: U.S ., Nikkei, REUTERS, Reserve Bank of Australia, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Bank for International, New Zealand, Bank of, RBA, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Australia
Spot gold was up 0.5% at $2,010.99 per ounce by 0758 GMT, after hitting its highest since May 16. U.S. gold futures rose 0.4% to $2,011.70. Reuters Graphics"What's moving gold at the moment is the lower U.S. dollar because of the recent soft data," said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com. The dollar index (.DXY) edged down 0.1% against its rivals, not far from a more than two-month low level touched last week, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Recent data showing signs of slowing inflation in the U.S. has boosted expectations that the Fed could begin easing monetary conditions sooner than expected.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, CME's, Wang Tao, Harshit Verma, Janane Venkatraman, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, PCE, Federal, Reuters, Fed, Traders, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold ticks higher as weaker US dollar, yields lend support
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 23 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, hovering close to a key $2,000 per ounce level, as an overall weaker dollar and lower U.S. Treasury yields buoyed demand for bullion. FUNDAMENTALS* Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,992.59 per ounce, as of 0143 GMT, after hitting a three-week high of $2,007.29 on Tuesday. * Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold. DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0745 France Business Climate Mfg, Overall Nov0815 France HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0830 Germany HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0900 EU HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0930 UK Flash Comp, Mfg, Serv PMIs NovReporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi AichOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Denis Balibouse, CME's, Serv, Brijesh Patel, Rashmi Organizations: REUTERS, Treasury, . Federal Reserve, Trust, Climate Mfg, France HCOB, Germany HCOB, Mfg, Thomson Locations: Mendrisio, Switzerland, France, Germany, Bengaluru
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian shares were higher Monday after Wall Street closed its third straight winning week with a tiny gain. U.S. futures were lower while oil prices gained as investors looking ahead to OPEC plus meetings. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged 0.1% higher to 7,058.40. The Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up less than 0.1% to 34,947.28 and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.1% to 14,125.48. It had been trading near 152 yen to the dollar last week, but analysts said expectations for lower U.S. interest rates are driving sales of dollars, pushing the yen higher.
Persons: Australia’s, Taiex, what’s, Jerome Powell, it’s, Brent Organizations: Nikkei, China, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wall, Ross, BJ’s Wholesale, Companies, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, Bangkok
Gold loses footing as focus turns to Fed minutes
  + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metals dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices declined on Monday weighed down by an uptick in U.S. Treasury yields, with investors awaiting minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting for cues on the central bank's interest rate path. Spot gold was down 0.1% to $1,978.23 per ounce, recouping the day's earlier losses. Spot gold rose as high as $1,993.29 on Friday. Lower interest rates exert downward pressure on the dollar and bond yields, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding bullion.
Persons: Bart Melek Organizations: Aurum, Treasury, TD Securities, Fed, U.S, Kitco Metals, Holdings, SPDR, Trust Locations: U.S
An electronic board shows stock indexes at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China, March 21, 2023. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 7 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. This is their best run in a year, powered by easing financial conditions in the form of lower U.S. bond yields and a weaker dollar, and renewed faith in the U.S. economic 'soft landing' scenario. Having under-performed global and developed market benchmarks last week, Asian stocks could be set to outperform this week. Skeptical foreign investors will need more than one month of slowing imports and exports decline though.
Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Goldman Sachs, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Korea, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Shanghai, China, U.S, India, Asia, Taiwan, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Australia
The decision by Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend the voluntary cuts drove up oil prices to over $90 a barrel in late September. Saudi crude exports to China rose to nearly 1.6 million bpd in September, up from 1.2 million bpd in August and 1.37 million bpd in July, Kpler data showed. U.S. CRUDE EXPORTS FALLAs the U.S. sees less crude imports, it has exported less oil to Europe. U.S. crude exports to Europe fell to 1.86 million bpd in September and 1.84 million bpd in August, from 2.01 million bpd in July, Kpler data showed. Tight supply led the premium for front-month Brent crude futures to rise to as much as $3.26 a barrel above the second month , the highest since 2022.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Matt Smith, Smith, refiners, Vortexa's Rohit Rathod, Adi Imsirovic, Brent, Stephanie Kelly, Alex Lawler, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Port, REUTERS, Brent, Organization of, Petroleum, Total U.S, Americas, Kpler, West, Surrey Clean Energy, CSIS, Midland, P, Insights, Thomson Locations: Port of Long Beach, Port of Los Angeles, Los Angeles , California, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Europe, Russia, Nigeria, Algeria, Saudi, China, Richmond , California, Los Angeles, Midland, Brent
Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, appearing to run out of space to contain a historic supply glut that has hammered prices, in Cushing, Oklahoma, March 24, 2016. Prices pared gains after U.S. government data showed U.S. crude inventories (USOILC=ECI) rose by 10.2 million barrels in the last week to 424.2 million barrels, much higher than analyst expectations for a 500,000-barrel rise. U.S. crude output also hit a record 13.2 million barrels per day in the week, the data showed. Meanwhile, the IEA lowered its oil demand growth forecast for 2024, suggesting harsher global economic conditions and progress on energy efficiency will weigh on consumption. However, it raised its 2023 demand forecast to 2.3 million bpd from a forecast of 2.2 million.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Giovanni Staunovo, Prince Abdulaziz, Novak, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Alexander Novak, Stephanie Kelly, Ahmad Ghaddar, Trixie Yap, David Gregorio, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, . West Texas, U.S, Mizuho, EIA, European Central Bank, UBS, Saudi Energy, IEA, Organization of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, Lower U.S, Saudi, Israel, Russia, New York, London, Singapore
Oct 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The rebound in risk sentiment was largely due to comments from two Fed officials that the recent rise in long-term bond yields and tightening of financial conditions mean the Fed may be done raising rates. The U.S. bond market was closed on Monday for the Columbus Day holiday but futures traded, and the 10-year Treasury future posted its biggest rise since March. The IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Morocco kick into gear on Tuesday, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde and many other leading global policymakers in attendance. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Lori Logan, Philip Jefferson nodded, Janet Yellen, Christine Lagarde, Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Lorie Logan, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Daly Organizations: Dallas, Columbus, Treasury, IMF, World Bank, U.S, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, Lower U.S, Asia, Japan, Pacific, Philippines, Morocco, Marrakech, Kashkari
Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. Having come off its nearly 11-month high, the dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six peers, held near overnight levels, settling at around 106.55. Longer dated U.S. Treasury yields eased from 16-year highs after the data and remained lower in the Asian day. Besides the lower U.S. Treasury yields, the yen also drew support from an overnight drop in oil prices, said Kyle Rodda, markets analyst at Capital.com, though he added that it was likely to be a "short-term reprieve." The Australian dollar fetched $0.63655 , up over 0.6%, while the kiwi was up around 0.5% to $0.59445 against the greenback.
Persons: Florence Lo, Moh Siong Sim, Shunichi Suzuki, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Brigid Riley, Gerry Doyle, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ADP, Bank of Singapore, Bank of, Japan, Finance, Japanese Finance Ministry, Sterling, Australian, greenback Locations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Tokyo, OPEC
Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. The dollar index , which tracks the greenback against six peers, held near overnight levels at 106.53. Longer dated U.S. Treasury yields eased from 16-year highs after the data and remained lower in the Asian morning. Elsewhere, the euro was up 0.18% so far in Asia at $1.0524 , keeping above this week's fresh low of $1.0448. The Australian dollar fetched $0.6361 , up over 0.5% in early trade, while the kiwi similarly ticked up 0.5% to $0.5943 against the greenback.
Persons: Florence Lo, Moh Siong Sim, Shunichi Suzuki, Kyle Rodda, Sterling, Brigid Riley, Gerry Doyle, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ADP, Bank of Singapore, Bank of, Japan, Finance, Australian, greenback, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Tokyo, Asia
It's time to buy spirits stock Brown-Forman , according to Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley's previous underweight call was based on limited visibility around gross margin recovery, the company's full valuation and slower U.S. spirits industry growth. However, Serotta now expects meaningful upside for the stock. Agave, which is used to produce tequila, has been a disproportionate headwind to the company's general margins over the last several years, Serotta said. Serotta also said that, while the company's absolute valuation is "rarely cheap," its relative valuation appears compelling compared to its peers Monster Beverage and Constellation Brands .
Persons: Brown, Forman, Morgan Stanley, Eric Serotta, Morgan Stanley's, Serotta, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Monster Beverage, Constellation Brands
Chegg notched second-quarter revenue of $183 million, while analysts polled by Refinitiv had expected $177 million. Analysts polled by Refinitiv called for a 5 cent loss per share and revenue of $205 million. Paramount Global — The media conglomerate added almost 4% in extended trading hours after posting an earnings and revenue beat. In the second quarter, the company reported $150.9 million in revenue against analysts' estimate of $175 million, per Refinitiv. Celanese — The materials stock fell nearly 3% after missing on both the top and bottom line in the second quarter.
Persons: Chegg, Refinitiv, Celanese Organizations: Paramount Global
A flare burns off excess gas from a gas plant in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 25, 2019. Experience suggests drilling rates turn down about 4-5 months after futures prices and production rates turn down about 12 months after prices. Like oil, gas production has continued to increase in a lagged response to very high prices during the second and third quarters of 2022. Gas production growth is set to slow sharply in the second half of 2023 and into the first half of 2024 which should erode excess inventories during the winter of 2023/24. Related columns:- U.S. oil and gas production set to turn down later in 2023 (July 5, 2023)- U.S. oil and gas output still rising in response to high prices last year (June 1, 2023)- U.S. oil and gas output growth set to slow sharply (May 3, 2023)- U.S. oil drilling falls in response to lower prices (February 27, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.
Persons: Angus Mordant, John Kemp, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Angus Mordant LONDON, “ Petroleum, U.S . Energy Information Administration, OPEC ⁺, Traders, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Loving County , Texas, U.S, Gulf, Mexico, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Saudi
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said finger-pointing and misrepresenting the actions of OPEC and OPEC+ was "counterproductive." Brent futures rose 3 cents to $79.67 a barrel by 0016 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude climbed 9 cents to $75.74 a barrel. Brent was on track to close down 0.2% for the week, while WTI was set to tick up 0.4%. Higher interest rates could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand. Keeping a lid on prices, however, were China's weak economic figures.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, Brent, WTI Organizations: U.S, West Texas, Energy Information Administration, Federal Locations: OPEC
SINGAPORE, July 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as a lower-than-expected drop in U.S. crude inventories and a potentially weaker demand outlook kept investors cautious. September WTI crude was higher by 6 cents, or 0.1%, to $75.35. The outlook for demand in China, the world's biggest crude buyer, was also unclear amid its slowing economy. Crude prices may struggle to find a clear direction amid a mixed global demand outlook in the next few weeks, Citi analysts said in a note. Demand is "a mixed picture with stronger gasoline and jet fuel demand, but weaker petchems and diesel," the analysts said.
Persons: Brent, Jun Rong, Jeslyn Lerh, Laura Sanicola, Sonali Paul, Miral Fahmy, Kim Coghill Organizations: U.S . West Texas, IG, U.S ., Citi, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, U.S, China, Saudi, Singapore, Washington
Spot prices of Russia's crude oil this week surpassed the $60-per-barrel threshold of the Group of Seven's oil price cap scheme, as Moscow and Riyadh tighten supplies. The G7 introduced its oil price cap mechanism on Dec. 5 to retain Russian flows in the market while also limiting revenue for the Kremlin's war coffers. Under the G7 scheme, Western shipping and insurance providers can offer services to non-G7 buyers of Russian crude if the crude oil is acquired at a price below $60 per barrel. Spot assessments from commodities pricing agency Argus show that Urals prices on July 12 reached $60.18 and $60.78 per barrel for Primorsk and Novorossiysk-loaded cargoes, respectively. S&P Global Platts meanwhile valued Primorsk cargoes at $60.32 per barrel on July 11 and Novorossiysk Urals crude at $60.26 per barrel on July 12.
Persons: P Global Platts, , Giovanni Staunovo, they're, David Fyfe Organizations: Argus, P Global, CNBC, Ice Brent, of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, UBS, P, Commodity Insights Locations: Moscow, Riyadh, Ust, Luga, Novorossiysk, , Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Turkey, Iraq, Lower U.S
Oil prices up on tighter supply, lower U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices rose on Friday on support from tighter supply amid issues in Libya and Nigeria and easing U.S. inflation, which markets hope may bring an end to interest rate hikes in the world's biggest economy. U.S. consumer prices rose modestly in June at the smallest annual increase rate in more than two years as inflation continued to subside. Producer prices also barely rose in June, and the annual increase was the smallest in nearly three years. Separately, Shell has suspended loadings of Nigeria's Forcados crude oil due to a potential leak at a terminal. Saudi Arabia and Russia, the world's biggest oil exporters, this month agreed to deepen oil cuts in place since November last year, providing further support to crude prices.
Organizations: Raffles, Brent, . West Texas, U.S . Federal, ANZ Research, Shell Locations: Yantai, East China's Shandong province, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Russia
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